FVXX24 KNES 151520
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190815/1520Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2019/711

INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. WEB CAM. NWP MODELS.
ASH3D. VOLCAT. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS MOV W-LY

OBS VA DTG: 15/1506Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL210 N1922 W09943 - N1904 W09837
- N1901 W09837 - N1858 W09941 - N1922 W09943 MOV
W 20-25KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 15/2100Z SFC/FL210 N1926 W09959
- N1903 W09837 - N1901 W09837 - N1856 W09958 -
N1926 W09959 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 16/0300Z SFC/FL210 N1926
W09959 - N1904 W09837 - N1901 W09837 - N1856
W09958 - N1926 W09959 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 16/0900Z SFC/FL210 N1924
W09959 - N1905 W09902 - N1904 W09837 - N1900
W09837 - N1854 W09958 - N1924 W09959 

RMK: MULTIPLE VA EMS MOV W AND THEN EVENTUALLY
FANNING OUT WITH PART OF VA EM MOV W AND OTHER WNW. VA
EMS ARE DSIPG OUT WHEN REACHING ARND 70 NM FM
SUMMIT. EARLIER VA EM MOV W/WSW HAVE DSIPTD IN VIS STLT.  
FCST BASED ON LATEST FCST MODEL, STLT AND
SOUNDING INFO. CONFIDENCE BEYOND T+6 IS LOW ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190815/2115Z
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