FVXX20 KNES 250715
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20200225/0715Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2020/196

INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. WEB CAM. NWP MODELS. ASH3D.
VOLCAT. RADIOSONDE

ERUPTION DETAILS: LARGE ERUPTION AT 25/0620Z
WITH SMALLER ERUPTION AT 25/0655Z.

OBS VA DTG: 25/0701Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL220 N1910 W09832 - N1901 W09827 -
N1900 W09837 - N1903 W09838 - N1910 W09832 MOV NE
20-25KT SFC/FL280 N1917 W09819 - N1903 W09821
- N1902 W09832 - N1914 W09834 - N1917 W09819 MOV
E 30-35KT

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 25/1300Z SFC/FL220 N1921 W09814 - N1902
W09804 - N1900 W09837 - N1902 W09838 - N1921
W09814 SFC/FL280 N2014 W09439 - N1957 W09438 - 
N1954 W09500 - N2007 W09502 -N2014 W09439 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 25/1900Z SFC/FL220 N1918 W09812 - 
N1858 W09807 - N1901 W09837 - N1903 W09838 - N1918 W09812
SFC/FL280 NO ASH EXP 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 26/0100Z NO ASH EXP

RMK: LARGE ERUPTION TO FL280 WITH VA MOV ENE AND
CURRENTLY 25 NM FM SUMMIT. LOWER HEIGHT VA EMS
SEEN IN WEB CAM AND ESTIMATED TO FL220. MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOWS A CONT ENE-E-LY MOV OF FL280 VA
AND A MORE E-LY MOV OF VA TO FL220 BY T+12 HRS.
HGT, MOV AND SPEED BASED ON NWP, STLT AND WEB
CAM  ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20200225/1315Z
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