FVXX20 KNES 161510
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20210216/1510Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090
PSN: S0200 W07820

AREA: ECUADOR

SUMMIT ELEV: 17159 FT (5230 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2021/188

INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. VONA. NWP MODELS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: VA EMS SEEN IN STLT

OBS VA DTG: 16/1440Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL210 S0153 W07831 - S0200 W07820
- S0201 W07820 - S0201 W07831 - S0153 W07831 MOV
W 5KT SFC/FL230 S0149 W07814 - S0152 W07808 -
S0201 W07819 - S0159 W07820 - S0149 W07814 MOV NE
15KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 16/2030Z SFC/FL210 S0149 W07831
- S0159 W07820 - S0201 W07820 - S0155 W07835 -
S0149 W07831 SFC/FL230 S0144 W07818 - S0146
W07810 - S0201 W07819 - S0159 W07820 - S0144
W07818 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 17/0230Z SFC/FL210 NO VA
EXP SFC/FL230 S0146 W07812 - S0149 W07805 - S0201
W07820 - S0159 W07820 - S0146 W07812 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 17/0830Z NO VA EXP

RMK: VA SEEN IN STLT MOVG NE AND EXTDG OUT 15 NM
FM SUMMIT AND MOVG W/WNW AND EXTDG OUT LESS THAN
10 NM. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS A GOOD HANDLE ON VA MOVG
NE BUT DOES NOT REALLY PICK UP ON VA MOV W/WNW.
FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOW BASED ON NWP GUIDANCE. ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20210216/2115Z
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