FVXX24 KNES 180953
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20221018/0953Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090
PSN: S0200 W07820

AREA: ECUADOR

SUMMIT ELEV: 17159 FT (5230 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2022/1089

INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. NWP MODELS. VOLCAT. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS OBSD

OBS VA DTG: 18/0930Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 S0158 W07839 - S0159 W07819
- S0201 W07820 - S0202 W07839 - S0158 W07839 MOV
W 10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 18/1530Z SFC/FL200 S0148 W07841
- S0159 W07819 - S0201 W07820 - S0153 W07844 -
S0148 W07841 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 18/2130Z NO VA EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 19/0330Z NO VA EXP

RMK: CONS VA EMS OBSD IN SAT AND VA CLDS EXTD
APPX 20NMI W OF SUMMIT BEFORE OBSC BY MET CLDS.
VA FL BASED ON PREV VAA. MDL DOES NOT AGREE WELL
WITH OBS, THUS FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOW.  ...ZENG

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20221018/1600Z
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