FVXX24 KNES 100048
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20221110/0048Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: SANGAY 352090
PSN: S0200 W07820

AREA: ECUADOR

SUMMIT ELEV: 17159 FT (5230 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2022/1186

INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. NWP MODELS. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: CONS VA EMS

OBS VA DTG: 10/0020Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL190 S0156 W07829 - S0159 W07820
- S0201 W07820 - S0204 W07830 - S0156 W07829 MOV
W 5KT SFC/FL230 S0147 W07828 - S0147 W07819 -
S0159 W07819 - S0159 W07822 - S0147 W07828 MOV N
10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 10/0630Z SFC/FL190 S0153 W07841
- S0200 W07820 - S0201 W07819 - S0204 W07841 -
S0153 W07841 SFC/FL230 S0131 W07825 - S0201
W07819 - S0202 W07820 - S0134 W07839 - S0131
W07825 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 10/1230Z SFC/FL190 NO VA
EXP SFC/FL230 S0132 W07838 - S0200 W07819 - S0201
W07820 - S0139 W07847 - S0132 W07838 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 10/1830Z SFC/FL230 S0136
W07844 - S0159 W07819 - S0201 W07820 - S0144
W07853 - S0136 W07844 

RMK: VA EMS MOV TWD THE NNW TO FL230 AND EXTDG
ARND 15 NM SUMMIT WITH SMALLER VA EMS MOV W TO
FL190. NWP GUIDANCE SHOWS A GRADUAL TURN TWDS THE
NW BY T+12 HRS THRU T+18 HRS FOR FL230. FCST CONFIDENCE
AND HGT OF VA MOV W TO FL190 IS LOW.  ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20221110/0645Z
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