FVXX22 KNES 021012
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20230702/1012Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837

AREA: MEXICO

SUMMIT ELEV: 17693 FT (5393 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2023/778

INFO SOURCE: GOES-16. NWP MODELS. VOLCAT.
RADIOSONDE. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: VA EMS OBSD

OBS VA DTG: 02/0950Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL210 N1904 W09838 - N1903 W09834
- N1848 W09836 - N1852 W09844 - N1904 W09838 MOV
NW 5KT SFC/FL230 N1929 W09858 - N1902 W09835 -
N1858 W09838 - N1917 W09910 - N1929 W09858 MOV NW
10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 02/1600Z SFC/FL210 N1905 W09838
- N1901 W09834 - N1846 W09844 - N1855 W09853 -
N1905 W09838 SFC/FL230 N1926 W09912 - N1902
W09836 - N1858 W09835 - N1908 W09916 - N1926
W09912 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 02/2200Z SFC/FL210 NO VA
EXPSFC/FL230 NO VA EXP

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 03/0400Z SFC/FL210 NO VA
EXPSFC/FL230 NO VA EXP

RMK: VA EMS OBSD IN SAT. VA CLDS AT FL230 EXTD
APPX 40NMI NW FM SUMMIT AND FL210 VA CLDS EXTD
APPX 10NMI SSW FM SUMMIT. MDL DOES NOT AGREE WELL
WITH OBS THUS FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOW.  ...ZENG

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20230702/1615Z
Full Size Graphic


-